CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
6-1-0 | Road
2
DALLAS
STARSDAL
3-3-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 3.10 | 0.912 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.00 | 0.929 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.10
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.912
Save %
Ldr 0.929
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
STARS
0%
HURRICANES
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 6, 2026
DAL @ CAR
3 - 6
Oct 25, 2025
CAR @ DAL
2 - 3
Jan 21, 2025
CAR @ DAL
2 - 1
Nov 25, 2024
DAL @ CAR
4 - 6
Feb 24, 2024
DAL @ CAR
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+21.5%
Dallas: 26.8%
vs
Carolina: 5.3%
Hits (L5)
+16.4% more
Dallas: 21.1
vs
Carolina: 18.1
Takeaways (L5)
+12.4% more
Dallas: 4.3
vs
Carolina: 3.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.5% more
Carolina: 32.8
vs
Dallas: 27.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.0
2
DAL Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.4 / 14.8
30.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
49.9 / 49.1
47.4 / 52.6
Hits
21.1 / 18.1
30.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
26.8 / 5.3
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.0 / 32.8
34.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 3.8
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
CAR
DAL
CAR
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
3-0
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
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