COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
3-4-0 | Road
5
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
6-2-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 3.71 | 0.871 | -- |
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 3.70 | 0.902 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.71
GAA
Ldr 3.70
0.871
Save %
Ldr 0.902
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
CBJ By 1 goal
6.6%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
3.7%
PIT By 1 goal
17.5%
PIT By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
1
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
CBJ @ PIT
4 - 3
Jan 4, 2026
PIT @ CBJ
5 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
PIT @ CBJ
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+71.3% more
Pittsburgh: 18.6
vs
Columbus: 10.9
Power Play % (L5)
+24.8%
Pittsburgh: 48.7%
vs
Columbus: 23.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+10.4% more
Pittsburgh: 5.2
vs
Columbus: 4.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.3%
Pittsburgh: 52.9%
vs
Columbus: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
1.0
5
PIT Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.6 / 10.9
16.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
52.9 / 48.6
53.8 / 46.2
Hits
16.6 / 24.8
18.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
48.7 / 23.9
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.1 / 31.9
31.0 / 41.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 4.7
3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CBJ
PIT
CBJ
ML
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…