SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
1-4-2 | Road
1
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
6-1-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 2.06 | 0.929 | -- |
| Jake Allen | None-None | 1.00 | 0.941 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.06
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.929
Save %
Ldr 0.941
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
DEVILS
0%
SHARKS
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
SJ By 1 goal
6.6%
SJ By 2-3 goals
3.7%
NJ By 1 goal
17.5%
NJ By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
1
SAN JOSE
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 30, 2025
NJ @ SJ
2 - 5
Oct 24, 2025
SJ @ NJ
1 - 3
Jan 4, 2025
NJ @ SJ
2 - 3
Nov 10, 2024
SJ @ NJ
1 - 0
Feb 27, 2024
NJ @ SJ
7 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+55.4% more
New Jersey: 5.3
vs
San Jose: 3.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+28.7% more
New Jersey: 18.2
vs
San Jose: 14.2
Power Play % (L5)
+24.0%
New Jersey: 41.3%
vs
San Jose: 17.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.9% more
New Jersey: 31.3
vs
San Jose: 26.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
1.0
1
NJ Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.2 / 14.2
18.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
46.4 / 50.5
45.5 / 54.5
Hits
17.6 / 23.9
22.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
41.3 / 17.4
40.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
31.3 / 26.8
29.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 3.4
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
SJ
NJ
SJ
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-2-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
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