CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
1-6-1 | Road
3
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
5-2-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Neal Pionk
#4 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.10 | 0.871 | -- |
| Neal Pionk | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.10
GAA
--
0.871
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
JETS
0%
FLAMES
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
CGY By 1 goal
2.8%
CGY By 2-3 goals
1.2%
WPG By 1 goal
12.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
1
CALGARY
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
WPG @ CGY
4 - 3
Oct 24, 2025
CGY @ WPG
3 - 5
Oct 20, 2025
WPG @ CGY
2 - 1
Oct 3, 2025
WPG @ CGY
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CGY @ WPG
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.8% more
Winnipeg: 15.8
vs
Calgary: 12.9
Power Play % (L5)
+18.0%
Winnipeg: 27.7%
vs
Calgary: 9.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.3%
Winnipeg: 53.9%
vs
Calgary: 47.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+25.5% more
Calgary: 3.7
vs
Winnipeg: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
1.0
3
WPG Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 12.9
13.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
53.9 / 47.6
60.7 / 39.3
Hits
22.3 / 22.8
19.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
27.7 / 9.7
25.0 / 16.7
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 30.7
32.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
2.7 / 3.7
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
CGY
WPG
CGY
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Two Goals and an…
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Points
Avalanche Crush Winless Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Po…
Avalanche Erupt for Seven Goals to Torch Flames at Scotiabank Sa…
Makar's Hometown Heroics: Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3