BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
0-1 | Road
95
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
1-0 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
KNICKS
100%
CELTICS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
20.1%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.2%
NY By 1-7 points
8.0%
NY By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
98
BOSTON
New York
86
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Boston
103
BOSTON
New York
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.0
Win
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u231.0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
BOS @ NY
106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026
NY @ BOS
111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025
NY @ BOS
117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025
BOS @ NY
95 - 105
May 16, 2025
BOS @ NY
81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.6% more
Boston: 6.8
vs
New York: 3.8
Steals (L5)
+8.2% more
Boston: 8.9
vs
New York: 8.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Boston: 84.7%
vs
New York: 76.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Boston: 44.6%
vs
New York: 42.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
98.0
95
NY Score
86.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 30.2
37.8 / 34.1
Assists
22.0 / 21.3
23.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.8 / 6.8
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 44.6
38.4 / 42.7
Free Throw %
76.8 / 84.7
88.0 / 66.7
Rebounding
45.4 / 48.1
53.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.2 / 8.9
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 16.4
20.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
BOS
NY
BOS
ML
61%
114-72
57%
61-46
56%
57-45
53%
47-41
ATS
67%
124-62
59%
61-43-3
56%
57-45
53%
47-41
TTL
72%
133-53
56%
60-47
100%
102-0
100%
88-0
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