AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
NETS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
CLE By 1-7 points
21.6%
CLE By 8-14 points
10.7%
BKN By 1-7 points
27.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
116
CLEVELAND
Brooklyn
119
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Cleveland
108
CLEVELAND
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o230.0
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u230.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
CLE @ BKN
106 - 102
Feb 19, 2026
BKN @ CLE
84 - 112
Oct 24, 2025
CLE @ BKN
131 - 124
Mar 11, 2025
BKN @ CLE
104 - 109
Feb 20, 2025
CLE @ BKN
110 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+25.1% more
Brooklyn: 20.8
vs
Cleveland: 16.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.4%
Brooklyn: 73.6%
vs
Cleveland: 70.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Brooklyn: 38.6%
vs
Cleveland: 36.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Brooklyn: 45.6%
vs
Cleveland: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
116.0
131
BKN Score
119.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 36.0
42.2 / 42.9
Assists
25.2 / 24.7
30.0 / 32.0
Blocks
2.7 / 5.8
0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 44.0
51.0 / 53.7
Free Throw %
73.6 / 70.2
100.0 / 71.4
Rebounding
41.1 / 39.4
38.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.8 / 10.9
9.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
20.8 / 16.7
20.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CLE
BKN
CLE
ML
53%
50-45
60%
69-46
59%
48-34
56%
55-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
67%
75-37-3
59%
48-34
56%
55-44
TTL
57%
54-41
59%
68-47
100%
82-0
100%
99-0