UTAH
JAZZUTAH
1-0 | Road
104
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
0-1 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
KINGS
0%
JAZZ
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
UTAH By 1-7 points
13.7%
UTAH By 8-14 points
4.8%
SAC By 1-7 points
25.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
106
UTAH
Sacramento
114
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Utah
112
UTAH
Sacramento
118
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (-6)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Sim
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
UTAH @ SAC
111 - 116
Feb 11, 2026
SAC @ UTAH
93 - 121
Nov 28, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
119 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
UTAH @ SAC
104 - 105
Feb 26, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
118 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.7% more
Sacramento: 5.8
vs
Utah: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+24.4% more
Utah: 30.8
vs
Sacramento: 23.3
Steals (L5)
+11.5% more
Utah: 9.5
vs
Sacramento: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.5%
Utah: 79.9%
vs
Sacramento: 71.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
106.0
104
SAC Score
114.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 36.3
43.8 / 31.7
Assists
23.3 / 30.8
23.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.8 / 4.4
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 49.2
48.2 / 44.2
Free Throw %
71.3 / 79.9
73.3 / 88.2
Rebounding
41.5 / 44.3
33.0 / 50.0
Steals
8.4 / 9.5
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 14.3
13.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
UTAH
SAC
UTAH
ML
55%
55-45
60%
96-63
61%
50-32
48%
40-43
ATS
54%
52-45-3
68%
108-51
61%
50-32
48%
40-43
TTL
58%
57-42-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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