PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
1-0 | Road
102
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
0-1 | Home
129
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
SUNS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
PHX By 1-7 points
0.6%
PHX By 8-14 points
0.1%
LAC By 1-7 points
4.0%
LAC By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
99
PHOENIX
LA
123
LA
Simulated Score
Phoenix
112
PHOENIX
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-10)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u223.5
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u223.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
LAC @ PHX
117 - 93
Nov 8, 2025
PHX @ LAC
114 - 103
Nov 6, 2025
LAC @ PHX
102 - 115
Oct 24, 2025
PHX @ LAC
102 - 129
Mar 4, 2025
LAC @ PHX
117 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
LA: 73.4%
vs
Phoenix: 64.3%
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
Phoenix: 10.1
vs
LA: 8.1
Turnovers (L5)
+12.2% more
Phoenix: 15.2
vs
LA: 13.3
Rebounding (L5)
+9.7% more
Phoenix: 44.0
vs
LA: 39.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
99.0
102
LAC Score
123.0
129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 32.5
55.2 / 34.0
Assists
26.4 / 26.0
32.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.9 / 6.0
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 45.8
59.2 / 41.1
Free Throw %
73.4 / 64.3
88.5 / 80.0
Rebounding
39.7 / 44.0
45.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.1 / 10.1
12.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 15.2
19.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
PHX
LAC
PHX
ML
60%
59-40
57%
60-45
55%
45-37
51%
45-43
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
59-43-3
55%
45-37
51%
45-43
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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