DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
5-2-0 | Road
2
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
3-3-0 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Matthew Schaefer
#48 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Matthew Schaefer | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
RED WINGS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
New York
3
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
NYI @ DET
2 - 3
Nov 20, 2025
NYI @ DET
5 - 0
Oct 23, 2025
DET @ NYI
2 - 7
Nov 25, 2024
DET @ NYI
4 - 2
Nov 21, 2024
NYI @ DET
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+21.5%
New York: 29.7%
vs
Detroit: 8.2%
Hits (L5)
+8.6% more
New York: 21.6
vs
Detroit: 19.9
Takeaways (L5)
+22.2% more
Detroit: 4.2
vs
New York: 3.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.4%
Detroit: 54.4%
vs
New York: 46.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.0
2
NYI Score
3.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.0 / 15.9
22.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
46.0 / 54.4
54.5 / 45.5
Hits
21.6 / 19.9
14.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
29.7 / 8.2
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 28.2
30.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 4.2
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
DET
NYI
DET
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-3
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…