MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
6-2-0 | Road
5
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
3-3-1 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sam Montembeault
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Montembeault | None-None | 6.05 | 0.793 | -- |
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.05
GAA
--
0.793
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
OILERS
100%
CANADIENS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
MTL By 1 goal
19.7%
MTL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
EDM By 1 goal
12.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Montreal
5
MONTREAL
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
EDM @ MTL
1 - 4
Oct 23, 2025
MTL @ EDM
5 - 6
Mar 6, 2025
MTL @ EDM
2 - 3
Nov 18, 2024
EDM @ MTL
0 - 3
Mar 19, 2024
MTL @ EDM
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.7% more
Montreal: 19.3
vs
Edmonton: 17.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.2%
Montreal: 50.9%
vs
Edmonton: 47.7%
Power Play % (L5)
+7.4%
Edmonton: 28.6%
vs
Montreal: 21.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
3.0
5
EDM Score
2.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 19.3
19.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
47.7 / 50.9
63.2 / 36.8
Hits
18.2 / 19.3
15.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
28.6 / 21.2
40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 27.6
29.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.4
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
MTL
EDM
MTL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…