SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
0-4-2 | Road
6
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
3-4-1 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 4.90 | 0.821 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 5.84 | 0.750 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.90 Ldr
GAA
5.84
0.821 Ldr
Save %
0.750
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
RANGERS
0%
SHARKS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
SJ By 1 goal
6.6%
SJ By 2-3 goals
3.7%
NYR By 1 goal
17.5%
NYR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
1
SAN JOSE
New York
3
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 23, 2026
NYR @ SJ
1 - 3
Oct 23, 2025
SJ @ NYR
6 - 5
Mar 29, 2025
NYR @ SJ
6 - 1
Nov 14, 2024
SJ @ NYR
2 - 3
Jan 23, 2024
NYR @ SJ
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.8% more
New York: 15.5
vs
San Jose: 11.7
Hits (L5)
+17.5% more
New York: 26.8
vs
San Jose: 22.8
Takeaways (L5)
+20.0% more
San Jose: 4.7
vs
New York: 3.7
Power Play % (L5)
+2.6%
San Jose: 16.0%
vs
New York: 13.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
1.0
6
NYR Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.5 / 11.7
10.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 53.4
55.2 / 44.8
Hits
26.8 / 22.8
24.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
13.5 / 16.0
25.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
26.2 / 28.2
28.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 4.7
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
SJ
NYR
SJ
ML
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
TTL
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
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