MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
3-3-1 | Road
1
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
5-1-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Nico Daws
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 3.03 | 0.912 | -- |
| Nico Daws | None-None | 1.00 | 0.968 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.03
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.912
Save %
Ldr 0.968
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
DEVILS
0%
WILD
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
MIN By 1 goal
2.8%
MIN By 2-3 goals
1.2%
NJ By 1 goal
12.1%
NJ By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
1
MINNESOTA
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 12, 2026
NJ @ MIN
5 - 2
Oct 22, 2025
MIN @ NJ
1 - 4
Mar 31, 2025
MIN @ NJ
2 - 3
Mar 29, 2025
NJ @ MIN
5 - 2
Nov 2, 2023
NJ @ MIN
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+94.3% more
New Jersey: 5.5
vs
Minnesota: 2.8
Power Play % (L5)
+23.9%
New Jersey: 37.0%
vs
Minnesota: 13.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.2% more
New Jersey: 29.5
vs
Minnesota: 26.3
Hits (L5)
+10.8% more
New Jersey: 22.3
vs
Minnesota: 20.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
1.0
1
NJ Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.9 / 16.8
19.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
46.4 / 48.9
46.6 / 53.4
Hits
22.3 / 20.2
8.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
37.0 / 13.1
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.5 / 26.3
35.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 2.8
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
MIN
NJ
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-2-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
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