MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
5-2-0 | Road
2
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
1-6-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 0.98 | 0.973 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 1.97 | 0.929 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.98 Ldr
GAA
1.97
0.973 Ldr
Save %
0.929
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
FLAMES
0%
CANADIENS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 7, 2026
CGY @ MTL
1 - 4
Oct 22, 2025
MTL @ CGY
2 - 1
Mar 8, 2025
MTL @ CGY
0 - 1
Nov 5, 2024
CGY @ MTL
3 - 2
Mar 16, 2024
MTL @ CGY
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+11.7% more
Calgary: 4.0
vs
Montreal: 3.6
Hits (L5)
+11.2% more
Calgary: 22.7
vs
Montreal: 20.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.5% more
Montreal: 16.4
vs
Calgary: 12.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.4%
Montreal: 52.6%
vs
Calgary: 45.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
2.0
2
CGY Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.9 / 16.4
13.0 / 25.0
Faceoff %
45.1 / 52.6
52.5 / 47.5
Hits
22.7 / 20.4
23.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
14.5 / 15.1
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 27.4
37.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 3.6
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
MTL
CGY
MTL
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…