EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
2-3-1 | Road
3
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
2-4-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.88 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.88
--
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
SENATORS
100%
OILERS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
OTT @ EDM
4 - 5
Oct 21, 2025
EDM @ OTT
3 - 2
Dec 22, 2024
OTT @ EDM
1 - 3
Nov 19, 2024
EDM @ OTT
5 - 2
Mar 24, 2024
EDM @ OTT
3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+27.5% more
Edmonton: 17.3
vs
Ottawa: 12.6
Hits (L5)
+48.2% more
Ottawa: 25.6
vs
Edmonton: 17.3
Power Play % (L5)
+26.1%
Ottawa: 35.6%
vs
Edmonton: 9.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+20.5% more
Ottawa: 4.4
vs
Edmonton: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
4.0
3
OTT Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.6 / 17.3
9.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
57.2 / 51.1
59.1 / 40.9
Hits
25.6 / 17.3
20.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
35.6 / 9.5
33.3 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
30.3 / 26.7
21.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.7
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
EDM
OTT
EDM
ML
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
TTL
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
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