FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
3-4-0 | Road
4
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
3-4-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 4.05 | 0.826 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
4.05
--
Save %
0.826
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
BRUINS
0%
PANTHERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
FLA By 1 goal
6.6%
FLA By 2-3 goals
3.7%
BOS By 1 goal
17.5%
BOS By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
1
FLORIDA
Boston
3
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
BOS @ FLA
1 - 2
Feb 4, 2026
BOS @ FLA
4 - 5
Oct 21, 2025
FLA @ BOS
4 - 3
Mar 11, 2025
FLA @ BOS
2 - 3
Jan 11, 2025
BOS @ FLA
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+75.6% more
Boston: 4.8
vs
Florida: 2.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+42.5% more
Boston: 20.7
vs
Florida: 14.5
Power Play % (L5)
+7.3%
Boston: 18.1%
vs
Florida: 10.8%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.8%
Boston: 56.4%
vs
Florida: 49.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
1.0
4
BOS Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
20.7 / 14.5
7.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
56.4 / 49.6
55.4 / 44.6
Hits
25.4 / 27.9
23.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
18.1 / 10.8
20.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
24.1 / 27.6
31.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 2.8
11.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
FLA
BOS
FLA
ML
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
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Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
Brad Marchand Injured as Panthers' Injury Woes Deepen