COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
2-3-0 | Road
5
DALLAS
STARSDAL
3-2-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 1.00 | 0.957 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 4.12 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
4.12
0.957 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
STARS
0%
BLUE JACKETS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
CBJ By 1 goal
12.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
DAL @ CBJ
0 - 1
Oct 21, 2025
CBJ @ DAL
5 - 1
Feb 25, 2025
DAL @ CBJ
4 - 6
Feb 2, 2025
CBJ @ DAL
3 - 5
Nov 9, 2023
DAL @ CBJ
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+26.6%
Dallas: 30.3%
vs
Columbus: 3.7%
Hits (L5)
+19.8% more
Dallas: 23.5
vs
Columbus: 19.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.9% more
Columbus: 31.0
vs
Dallas: 26.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.0
5
DAL Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 16.7
14.0 / 5.0
Faceoff %
53.0 / 53.4
58.2 / 41.8
Hits
23.5 / 19.6
21.0 / 35.0
Power Play %
30.3 / 3.7
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 31.0
23.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 3.1
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
CBJ
DAL
CBJ
ML
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1
TTL
100%
3-0
50%
1-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-2
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