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SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

0-3-2  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Oct 21 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

2-3-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 4.15 0.852 --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 3.01 0.917 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.15 GAA Ldr 3.01
0.852 Save % Ldr 0.917
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
ISLANDERS
0%
SHARKS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
SharksSJ (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

15.9%

Islanders Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

SJ By 1 goal

6.6%

SJ By 2-3 goals

3.7%

NYI By 1 goal

17.5%

NYI By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
2
SAN JOSE
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
SAN JOSE
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Islanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Islanders (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 NYI @ SJ 2 - 1
Oct 21, 2025 SJ @ NYI 3 - 4
Mar 8, 2025 NYI @ SJ 4 - 2
Jan 18, 2025 SJ @ NYI 1 - 4
Mar 7, 2024 NYI @ SJ 7 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +20.0% more
New York: 29.2 vs San Jose: 24.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +9.7% more
New York: 16.0 vs San Jose: 14.6
Takeaways (L5) +40.6% more
San Jose: 5.0 vs New York: 3.0
Power Play % (L5) +12.8%
San Jose: 24.1% vs New York: 11.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 2.0 3
NYI Score 4.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.0 / 14.6 19.0 / 6.0
Faceoff % 48.6 / 50.6 40.9 / 59.1
Hits 23.4 / 23.2 18.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 11.2 / 24.1 66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 29.2 / 24.3 27.0 / 36.0
Takeaways 3.0 / 5.0 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
71%MONEY29%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
SJ
NYI
SJ
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
33% 1-2
100% 2-0-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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