RUTGERS
RUTGERSRUTG
3-4 | Road
27
PURDUE
PURDUEPUR
2-5 | Home
24
Key Game
KEY GAME
Jakob Anderson
#94 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Winston Berglund
#20 | Linebacker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Jakob Anderson | None-None |
| Winston Berglund | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RUTGERS
100%
PURDUE
0%
RUTGERS
--
PURDUE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
62.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
PURDUE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Purdue)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PUR -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PUR)
RUTG By 1-6 points
1.4%
RUTG By 7-13 points
0.5%
PUR By 1-6 points
3.8%
PUR By 7-13 points
8.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
17
RUTGERS
Purdue
45
PURDUE
Simulated Score
Rutgers
24
RUTGERS
Purdue
27
PURDUE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Purdue
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Purdue
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Purdue (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Sim
Purdue (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o59.5
Loss
Proj Total: 62.0
C
Sim
u59.5
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 25, 2025
RUTG @ PUR
27 - 24
Nov 28, 2020
RUTG @ PUR
37 - 30
Oct 21, 2017
PUR @ RUTG
12 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+83.4% more
Purdue: 2.8
vs
Rutgers: 1.5
First Downs (L5)
+10.7% more
Rutgers: 21.4
vs
Purdue: 19.1
Time of Possession (L5)
+8.0% more
Rutgers: 0.5
vs
Purdue: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
17.0
27
PUR Score
45.0
24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
19.1 / 21.4
14.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards
133.7 / 125.8
217.0 / 184.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.11 / 0.29
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards
374.0 / 363.3
345.0 / 543.0
Turnovers
2.8 / 1.5
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: -7.0
PUR
Advantage
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -4.6
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: -7.0
PUR
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -4.6
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +6.1
PUR
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +9.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PUR
RUTG
PUR
RUTG
ML
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3-1
20%
1-4
50%
2-2-1
40%
2-3
TTL
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
Contextual Game News
Purdue Insider Breaks Down Gophers Clash, NIL Challenges, and Ij…
Rutgers Crushed by Indiana 47-15 as Schiano Searches for Answers
Purdue Halts 19-Game Big Ten Skid with 24-17 Win at Illinois
College Football Week 5: Six Ranked Showdowns Highlight Saturday…
Omer Mayer Ready to Lead Purdue's Backcourt After Offseason Impr…