Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Oklahoma St @ Texas Tech OKST @ TTU

OKLAHOMA STATE

OKLAHOMA STOKST

1-6  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Oct 25 • 4:00 PM ET
Jones AT&T Stadium
View Odds Details →

TEXAS TECH

TEXAS TECHTTU

6-1  |  Home

42
Key Game
Mo Horn
KEY GAME

Mo Horn

#4 | Cornerback
@
Stone Harrington
KEY GAME

Stone Harrington

#48 | Place kicker
Player
Mo Horn None-None
Stone Harrington None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OKLAHOMA ST
100%
📊
TEXAS TECH
0%
OKLAHOMA ST --
TEXAS TECH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
60.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Texas Tech)
Oklahoma StOKST (-3.5) 0 Texas TechTTU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oklahoma St Cover

12.7%

Texas Tech Cover

87.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TTU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

OKST By 1-6 points

6.5%

OKST By 7-13 points

3.6%

TTU By 1-6 points

11.5%

TTU By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
22
OKLAHOMA STATE
38
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
24
OKLAHOMA STATE
31
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Texas Tech Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Texas Tech Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Texas Tech (+38.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
C
Sim Texas Tech (+38.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o56.5 Loss
Proj Total: 60.0
C
Sim u56.5 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2025 OKST @ TTU 0 - 42
Nov 23, 2024 TTU @ OKST 56 - 48
Oct 8, 2022 TTU @ OKST 31 - 41
Nov 20, 2021 OKST @ TTU 23 - 0
Nov 28, 2020 TTU @ OKST 44 - 50
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +44.6% more
Texas Tech: 446.2 vs Oklahoma State: 308.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +42.2% more
Texas Tech: 204.0 vs Oklahoma State: 143.5
First Downs (L5) +35.1% more
Texas Tech: 21.8 vs Oklahoma State: 16.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +10.0% more
Texas Tech: 0.5 vs Oklahoma State: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKST Score 22.0 0
TTU Score 38.0 42
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.8 / 16.2 21.0 / 9.0
Rushing Yards 204.0 / 143.5 88.0 / 95.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.56 / 0.29
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 446.2 / 308.5 370.0 / 182.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.4 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 17.5 ATS +/-: +6.9
TTU Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 17.5 ATS +/-: +6.9
TTU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 18.6 ATS +/-: -6.5
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
TTU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
OKST
TTU
OKST
ML
100% 5-0
25% 1-3
100% 5-0
50% 2-2
ATS
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
TTL
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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