Key Game
KEY GAME
Keegan Shank
#90 | Defensive Lineman@
KEY GAME
Bart Edmiston
#18 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Keegan Shank | None-None |
| Bart Edmiston | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COLORADO ST
100%
WYOMING
0%
COLORADO ST
--
WYOMING
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Wyoming)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WYO -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)
CSU By 1-6 points
1.4%
CSU By 7-13 points
0.5%
WYO By 1-6 points
3.8%
WYO By 7-13 points
8.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado State
10
COLORADO STATE
Wyoming
38
WYOMING
Simulated Score
Colorado State
20
COLORADO STATE
Wyoming
24
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wyoming
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Wyoming
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wyoming (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Sim
Wyoming (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 5, 2026
WYO @ CSU
13 - 35
Oct 25, 2025
CSU @ WYO
0 - 28
Nov 15, 2024
WYO @ CSU
10 - 24
Nov 3, 2023
CSU @ WYO
15 - 24
Nov 12, 2022
WYO @ CSU
14 - 13
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+127.0% more
Wyoming: 2.1
vs
Colorado State: 0.8
First Downs (L5)
+23.3% more
Wyoming: 21.8
vs
Colorado State: 17.7
Total Yards (L5)
+17.7% more
Wyoming: 380.0
vs
Colorado State: 322.8
Rushing Yards (L5)
+9.8% more
Wyoming: 151.4
vs
Colorado State: 137.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSU Score
10.0
0
WYO Score
38.0
28
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
21.8 / 17.7
18.0 / 15.0
Rushing Yards
151.4 / 137.9
212.0 / 94.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.36 / 0.31
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards
380.0 / 322.8
372.0 / 305.0
Turnovers
2.1 / 0.8
0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSU
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: +2.1
WYO
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -7.8
ATS +/-: -8.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSU
Advantage
2-2-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: +2.1
WYO
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -7.8
ATS +/-: -8.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CSU
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0%
Total +/-: +20.5
WYO
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -7.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
CSU
WYO
CSU
ML
80%
4-1
100%
4-0
100%
5-0
80%
4-1
ATS
20%
1-4
75%
3-1
100%
5-0
40%
2-3
TTL
0%
0-5
0%
0-4
20%
1-4
40%
2-3