Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Texas A&M @ LSU TA&M @ LSU

TEXAS A&M

TEXAS A&MTA&M

7-0  |  Road

49
FINAL
Sat, Oct 25 • 7:30 PM ET
Tiger Stadium (LA)
View Odds Details →

LSU

LSULSU

5-2  |  Home

25
Key Game
Daymion Sanford
KEY GAME

Daymion Sanford

#27 | Linebacker
@
Grant Chadwick
KEY GAME

Grant Chadwick

#90 | Punter
Player
Daymion Sanford None-None
Grant Chadwick None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TEXAS A&M
100%
📊
LSU
0%
TEXAS A&M --
LSU --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (LSU)
Texas A&MTA&M (-3.5) 0 LSULSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Texas A&M Cover

38.8%

LSU Cover

61.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LSU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)

TA&M By 1-6 points

14.7%

TA&M By 7-13 points

12.1%

LSU By 1-6 points

17.0%

LSU By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
20
TEXAS A&M
24
LSU
Simulated Score
27
TEXAS A&M
31
LSU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI LSU Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim LSU Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI LSU (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Sim LSU (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u49.5 Loss
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Sim o49.5 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 26, 2026 TA&M @ LSU 6 - 35
Oct 25, 2025 TA&M @ LSU 49 - 25
Oct 26, 2024 LSU @ TA&M 23 - 38
Nov 25, 2023 TA&M @ LSU 30 - 42
Nov 26, 2022 LSU @ TA&M 23 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +38.0% more
LSU: 1.1 vs Texas A&M: 0.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +45.4% more
Texas A&M: 208.7 vs LSU: 113.9
First Downs (L5) +21.7% more
Texas A&M: 24.1 vs LSU: 18.8
Total Yards (L5) +21.3% more
Texas A&M: 461.9 vs LSU: 363.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score 20.0 49
LSU Score 24.0 25
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.8 / 24.1 18.0 / 24.0
Rushing Yards 113.9 / 208.7 60.0 / 224.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.15 / 0.7
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 363.5 / 461.9 278.0 / 426.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 0.7 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
LSU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 28.4 ATS +/-: +6.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
LSU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 28.4 ATS +/-: +6.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -0.9
LSU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LSU
TA&M
LSU
TA&M
ML
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
20% 1-4
TTL
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
0% 0-5
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Texas Longhorns Lead College Football Viewership Through Week 5,…
si 9 hours, 42 minutes ago
Former Texas A&M Head Coach Dennis Franchione Dies at 75 After 1…
si 2 days, 9 hours ago
College Football Legend Dennis Franchione Passes Away at 75
aggieswire 2 days, 9 hours ago
AP Voters Split on Missouri-Florida After Tigers' Blowout Win
dailygazette 3 days, 15 hours ago
Auburn Fans Call for Offensive Coordinator's Job After Frustrati…
si 4 days, 4 hours ago