MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
2-3-1 | Road
3
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
3-3-1 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.05 | 0.935 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.05
0.958 Ldr
Save %
0.935
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
RANGERS
0%
WILD
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
MIN By 1 goal
12.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
NYR @ MIN
4 - 2
Oct 20, 2025
MIN @ NYR
3 - 1
Apr 2, 2025
MIN @ NYR
4 - 5
Mar 13, 2025
NYR @ MIN
3 - 2
Nov 9, 2023
MIN @ NYR
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+67.5% more
New York: 4.6
vs
Minnesota: 2.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.7% more
New York: 27.3
vs
Minnesota: 23.4
Hits (L5)
+14.5% more
New York: 23.2
vs
Minnesota: 20.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.7%
New York: 51.4%
vs
Minnesota: 48.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
3
NYR Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.7 / 15.7
21.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
51.4 / 48.7
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
23.2 / 20.2
34.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
2021.0 / 1963.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.3 / 23.4
24.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 2.7
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
MIN
NYR
MIN
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
TTL
60%
3-2
100%
4-0
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
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