WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
4-1-0 | Road
2
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
1-5-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 2.05 | 0.926 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.05
0.970 Ldr
Save %
0.926
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
FLAMES
0%
JETS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
WPG By 1 goal
12.1%
WPG By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
WPG @ CGY
4 - 3
Oct 24, 2025
CGY @ WPG
3 - 5
Oct 20, 2025
WPG @ CGY
2 - 1
Oct 3, 2025
WPG @ CGY
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CGY @ WPG
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+27.1% more
Calgary: 4.0
vs
Winnipeg: 3.2
Hits (L5)
+14.6% more
Calgary: 23.0
vs
Winnipeg: 20.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.5% more
Calgary: 24.9
vs
Winnipeg: 22.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Calgary: 49.9%
vs
Winnipeg: 48.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.0
2
CGY Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 15.4
11.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
49.9 / 48.2
35.6 / 64.4
Hits
23.0 / 20.1
22.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
21.7 / 52.2
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
24.9 / 22.9
33.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 3.2
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
WPG
CGY
WPG
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
