PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
0-0 | Road
117
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
0-0 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
CELTICS
0%
76ERS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PHI By 1-7 points
9.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
2.7%
BOS By 1-7 points
21.6%
BOS By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
105
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
116
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
112
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u229.0
Loss
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
u229.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 2, 2026
PHI @ BOS
109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026
BOS @ PHI
93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026
PHI @ BOS
113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026
BOS @ PHI
128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+39.6% more
Boston: 8.1
vs
Philadelphia: 5.8
Rebounding (L5)
+22.8% more
Boston: 51.1
vs
Philadelphia: 41.6
Turnovers (L5)
+12.5% more
Boston: 20.1
vs
Philadelphia: 17.8
Assists (L5)
+12.4% more
Boston: 23.9
vs
Philadelphia: 21.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
105.0
117
BOS Score
116.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 26.3
25.6 / 40.0
Assists
23.9 / 21.3
16.0 / 23.0
Blocks
8.1 / 5.8
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 40.5
45.1 / 45.9
Free Throw %
82.7 / 74.7
88.5 / 76.7
Rebounding
51.1 / 41.6
42.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.9 / 10.5
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
20.1 / 17.8
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHI
BOS
PHI
ML
57%
61-46
63%
69-40
53%
47-41
48%
45-48
ATS
59%
61-43-3
65%
71-38
53%
47-41
48%
45-48
TTL
56%
60-47
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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