VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
3-2-0 | Road
4
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
4-1-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 3.00 | 0.903 | -- |
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 4.16 | 0.833 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
4.16
0.903 Ldr
Save %
0.833
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
CANUCKS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
VAN By 1 goal
6.6%
VAN By 2-3 goals
3.7%
WSH By 1 goal
17.5%
WSH By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
1
VANCOUVER
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 21, 2026
WSH @ VAN
3 - 4
Oct 19, 2025
VAN @ WSH
4 - 3
Jan 25, 2025
WSH @ VAN
1 - 2
Jan 8, 2025
VAN @ WSH
1 - 2
Mar 16, 2024
WSH @ VAN
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+32.7% more
Washington: 4.4
vs
Vancouver: 3.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.0% more
Washington: 33.9
vs
Vancouver: 27.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.0%
Washington: 48.2%
vs
Vancouver: 44.2%
Power Play % (L5)
+6.4%
Vancouver: 20.8%
vs
Washington: 14.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
1.0
4
WSH Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.6 / 13.9
1.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 44.2
54.9 / 45.1
Hits
24.5 / 25.9
28.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
14.4 / 20.8
25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
33.9 / 27.3
31.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.3
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
VAN
WSH
VAN
ML
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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