EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
2-2-1 | Road
2
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
4-1-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
RED WINGS
0%
OILERS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
EDM By 1 goal
12.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DET By 1 goal
19.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Push
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 11, 2025
DET @ EDM
1 - 4
Oct 19, 2025
EDM @ DET
2 - 4
Jan 30, 2025
DET @ EDM
3 - 2
Oct 27, 2024
EDM @ DET
3 - 2
Feb 13, 2024
DET @ EDM
4 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+31.2% more
Detroit: 21.5
vs
Edmonton: 16.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.4% more
Detroit: 19.0
vs
Edmonton: 15.5
Takeaways (L5)
+14.0% more
Detroit: 4.6
vs
Edmonton: 4.0
Power Play % (L5)
+4.2%
Detroit: 18.5%
vs
Edmonton: 14.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
4.0
2
DET Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.0 / 15.5
11.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
53.1 / 54.9
56.5 / 43.5
Hits
21.5 / 16.4
24.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
1848.0 / 1429.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.7 / 31.0
25.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 4.0
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
EDM
DET
EDM
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
Alex Ovechkin Announces Final NHL Season: Capitals Legend Set fo…