BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
3-3-0 | Road
2
UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
3-2-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
JJ Peterka
#10 | Right Wing@
GOALTENDER
Dmitri Simashev
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Peterka | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dmitri Simashev | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
MAMMOTH
0%
BRUINS
--
MAMMOTH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)
BOS By 1 goal
2.8%
BOS By 2-3 goals
1.2%
UTA By 1 goal
12.1%
UTA By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
0
BOSTON
Utah
3
UTAH
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Utah
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
UTA @ BOS
1 - 4
Oct 19, 2025
BOS @ UTA
2 - 3
Nov 21, 2024
UTA @ BOS
0 - 1
Oct 19, 2024
BOS @ UTA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+30.8% more
Utah: 30.3
vs
Boston: 23.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+44.4% more
Boston: 21.5
vs
Utah: 11.9
Hits (L5)
+30.3% more
Boston: 26.1
vs
Utah: 18.2
Takeaways (L5)
+9.6% more
Boston: 3.2
vs
Utah: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
0.0
2
UTA Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.9 / 21.5
21.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
47.4 / 54.9
40.7 / 59.3
Hits
18.2 / 26.1
23.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
15.3 / 14.6
20.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
30.3 / 23.1
27.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
2.9 / 3.2
3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
BOS
UTA
BOS
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
TTL
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
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