Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Hornets BKN @ CHA

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

0-0  |  Road

117
FINAL
Wed, Oct 22 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

0-0  |  Home

136
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
NETS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
200.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Brooklyn)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

99.7%

Hornets Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

BKN By 1-7 points

1.7%

BKN By 8-14 points

6.8%

CHA By 1-7 points

0.2%

CHA By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
114
BROOKLYN
86
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
108
BROOKLYN
112
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Nets (-5) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u228.5 Loss
Proj Total: 200.0
D
Sim u228.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 31, 2026 CHA @ BKN 117 - 86
Dec 1, 2025 CHA @ BKN 103 - 116
Oct 22, 2025 BKN @ CHA 117 - 136
Mar 8, 2025 BKN @ CHA 102 - 105
Feb 10, 2025 CHA @ BKN 89 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +19.4% more
Brooklyn: 22.8 vs Charlotte: 18.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Brooklyn: 40.3% vs Charlotte: 37.0%
Rebounding (L5) +21.9% more
Charlotte: 52.0 vs Brooklyn: 42.6
Blocks (L5) +20.7% more
Charlotte: 3.2 vs Brooklyn: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 114.0 117
CHA Score 86.0 136
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 40.3 47.2 / 35.0
Assists 27.2 / 25.3 33.0 / 25.0
Blocks 3.2 / 2.6 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.0 / 46.2 53.3 / 44.3
Free Throw % 72.2 / 73.6 69.7 / 73.5
Rebounding 52.0 / 42.6 50.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.8 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 18.4 / 22.8 17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
BKN
CHA
BKN
ML
61% 60-39
53% 50-45
48% 40-44
59% 48-34
ATS
60% 59-40
52% 48-44-3
48% 40-44
59% 48-34
TTL
58% 57-42
57% 54-41
100% 84-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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