CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
0-0 | Road
111
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
0-0 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
KNICKS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
16.9%
CLE By 8-14 points
26.2%
NY By 1-7 points
5.8%
NY By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
124
CLEVELAND
New York
110
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Cleveland
104
CLEVELAND
New York
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 25, 2026
NY @ CLE
130 - 93
May 23, 2026
NY @ CLE
121 - 108
May 21, 2026
CLE @ NY
93 - 109
May 19, 2026
CLE @ NY
104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026
NY @ CLE
94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.0% more
Cleveland: 6.8
vs
New York: 3.7
Steals (L5)
+33.4% more
Cleveland: 12.4
vs
New York: 8.3
Assists (L5)
+17.5% more
Cleveland: 26.6
vs
New York: 21.9
Turnovers (L5)
+9.1% more
Cleveland: 17.5
vs
New York: 15.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
124.0
111
NY Score
110.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 33.3
35.0 / 41.3
Assists
21.9 / 26.6
22.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.7 / 6.8
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 42.7
43.0 / 46.5
Free Throw %
72.1 / 71.9
86.1 / 66.7
Rebounding
44.0 / 43.1
48.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.3 / 12.4
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 17.5
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CLE
NY
CLE
ML
61%
114-72
60%
69-46
56%
57-45
56%
55-44
ATS
67%
124-62
67%
75-37-3
56%
57-45
56%
55-44
TTL
72%
133-53
59%
68-47
100%
102-0
100%
99-0
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