AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
JAZZ
100%
CLIPPERS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
18.6%
UTAH By 1-7 points
23.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
110
LA
Utah
108
UTAH
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Utah
118
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u225.0
Loss
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim
u225.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
LAC @ UTAH
115 - 103
Jan 1, 2026
UTAH @ LAC
101 - 118
Oct 22, 2025
LAC @ UTAH
108 - 129
Feb 13, 2025
LAC @ UTAH
120 - 116
Feb 8, 2025
UTAH @ LAC
110 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.2% more
LA: 5.9
vs
Utah: 3.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
LA: 48.2%
vs
Utah: 46.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+19.8% more
Utah: 15.0
vs
LA: 12.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Utah: 79.8%
vs
LA: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
110.0
108
UTAH Score
108.0
129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 32.3
38.6 / 31.1
Assists
27.2 / 25.6
38.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.9
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 48.2
55.2 / 44.3
Free Throw %
79.8 / 71.9
80.0 / 76.2
Rebounding
43.5 / 40.5
46.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.7 / 8.1
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 12.5
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
LAC
UTAH
LAC
ML
60%
96-63
60%
59-40
48%
40-43
55%
45-37
ATS
68%
108-51
66%
65-33-1
48%
40-43
55%
45-37
TTL
75%
119-39-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0