FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
3-3-0 | Road
0
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
1-3-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
0.00
--
Save %
1.000
--
SO
1
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
SABRES
0%
PANTHERS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
FLA By 1 goal
12.1%
FLA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Panthers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
BUF @ FLA
3 - 2
Feb 2, 2026
BUF @ FLA
5 - 3
Jan 12, 2026
FLA @ BUF
4 - 3
Oct 18, 2025
FLA @ BUF
0 - 3
Apr 12, 2025
BUF @ FLA
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+66.0% more
Buffalo: 4.4
vs
Florida: 2.6
Power Play % (L5)
+17.9%
Buffalo: 34.0%
vs
Florida: 16.1%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.6% more
Buffalo: 29.2
vs
Florida: 25.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.8% more
Buffalo: 15.1
vs
Florida: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
2.0
0
BUF Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.1 / 13.2
20.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
39.2 / 49.4
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
23.6 / 27.3
23.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
34.0 / 16.1
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 25.5
31.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 2.6
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
FLA
BUF
FLA
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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