EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
2-1-1 | Road
3
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
3-1-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Jake Allen | None-None | 3.00 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
DEVILS
0%
OILERS
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
EDM By 1 goal
12.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 20, 2026
NJ @ EDM
2 - 1
Oct 18, 2025
EDM @ NJ
3 - 5
Mar 13, 2025
EDM @ NJ
2 - 3
Nov 4, 2024
NJ @ EDM
3 - 0
Dec 21, 2023
EDM @ NJ
6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+53.8% more
New Jersey: 22.5
vs
Edmonton: 14.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.0% more
New Jersey: 19.9
vs
Edmonton: 16.7
Power Play % (L5)
+7.6%
New Jersey: 29.1%
vs
Edmonton: 21.4%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.4% more
Edmonton: 31.5
vs
New Jersey: 28.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
3
NJ Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.9 / 16.7
15.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
46.5 / 53.4
42.0 / 58.0
Hits
22.5 / 14.6
24.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
29.1 / 21.4
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 31.5
23.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 4.0
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
EDM
NJ
EDM
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-2-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
25%
1-3
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