NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
2-3-1 | Road
4
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
4-1-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sam Montembeault
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 3.01 | 0.875 | -- |
| Sam Montembeault | None-None | 4.17 | 0.818 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.01 Ldr
GAA
4.17
0.875 Ldr
Save %
0.818
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
CANADIENS
0%
RANGERS
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Montreal)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
NYR By 1 goal
6.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
MTL By 1 goal
17.5%
MTL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
1
NEW YORK
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
MTL @ NYR
3 - 2
Dec 13, 2025
MTL @ NYR
4 - 5
Oct 18, 2025
NYR @ MTL
4 - 3
Jan 19, 2025
NYR @ MTL
4 - 5
Nov 30, 2024
MTL @ NYR
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.3% more
Montreal: 15.7
vs
New York: 12.6
Power Play % (L5)
+3.7%
Montreal: 9.0%
vs
New York: 5.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+21.3% more
New York: 4.9
vs
Montreal: 3.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.1% more
New York: 30.0
vs
Montreal: 26.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
1.0
4
MTL Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 12.6
11.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
50.1 / 52.9
51.7 / 48.3
Hits
21.3 / 22.7
16.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
9.0 / 5.3
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.3 / 30.0
24.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 4.9
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
NYR
MTL
NYR
ML
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
40%
2-3
ATS
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
TTL
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …