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DALLAS

STARSDAL

3-1-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Oct 18 • 7:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

2-2-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Oettinger None-None 2.04 0.905 --
Jordan Binnington None-None 1.00 0.947 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.04 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.905 Save % Ldr 0.947
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
STARS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (St. Louis)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

6.7%

Blues Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

DAL By 1 goal

2.8%

DAL By 2-3 goals

1.2%

STL By 1 goal

12.1%

STL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
DALLAS
4
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 0
Feb 4, 2026 STL @ DAL 4 - 5
Jan 27, 2026 DAL @ STL 4 - 3
Jan 23, 2026 STL @ DAL 2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025 DAL @ STL 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +50.9% more
St. Louis: 29.8 vs Dallas: 19.8
Takeaways (L5) +19.6% more
St. Louis: 4.2 vs Dallas: 3.5
Power Play % (L5) +34.0%
Dallas: 45.4% vs St. Louis: 11.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +23.2% more
Dallas: 19.3 vs St. Louis: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 1.0 1
STL Score 4.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.8 / 19.3 11.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 48.1 / 54.5 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 29.8 / 19.8 24.0 / 31.0
Power Play % 1141.0 / 4543.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.5 / 29.6 22.0 / 19.0
Takeaways 4.2 / 3.5 8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
93%MONEY7%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
DAL
STL
DAL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 1-1-1
100% 3-0
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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