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BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

3-2-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Oct 18 • 9:00 PM ET
Ball Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

4-0-1  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 3.01 0.919 --
Scott Wedgewood None-None 1.01 0.929 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.01 GAA Ldr 1.01
0.919 Save % Ldr 0.929
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
AVALANCHE
0%
BRUINS --
AVALANCHE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Colorado)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 AvalancheCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

15.9%

Avalanche Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

BOS By 1 goal

6.6%

BOS By 2-3 goals

3.7%

COL By 1 goal

17.5%

COL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
BOSTON
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
2
BOSTON
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Avalanche Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Avalanche Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Avalanche (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Avalanche (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2025 COL @ BOS 2 - 3
Oct 18, 2025 BOS @ COL 1 - 4
Jan 25, 2025 COL @ BOS 1 - 3
Oct 16, 2024 BOS @ COL 5 - 3
Jan 18, 2024 COL @ BOS 2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +22.3% more
Colorado: 33.9 vs Boston: 27.7
Hits (L5) +27.6% more
Boston: 27.1 vs Colorado: 19.6
Power Play % (L5) +13.4%
Boston: 22.0% vs Colorado: 8.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.8% more
Boston: 17.7 vs Colorado: 15.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 1.0 1
COL Score 3.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.6 / 17.7 17.0 / 29.0
Faceoff % 53.9 / 55.3 45.8 / 54.2
Hits 19.6 / 27.1 12.0 / 24.0
Power Play % 855.0 / 2195.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 33.9 / 27.7 38.0 / 14.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 4.4 3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
92%MONEY8%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
BOS
COL
BOS
ML
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
TTL
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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