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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

1-4-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Oct 18 • 10:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

3-0-2  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
@
Adin Hill
GOALTENDER

Adin Hill

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Devin Cooley None-None 3.00 0.889 --
Adin Hill None-None 1.00 0.963 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.889 Save % Ldr 0.963
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
FLAMES --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

15.9%

Golden Knights Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

CGY By 1 goal

6.6%

CGY By 2-3 goals

3.7%

VGK By 1 goal

17.5%

VGK By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
CALGARY
3
VEGAS
Simulated Score
2
CALGARY
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Knights Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Knights (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 CGY @ VGK 3 - 6
Dec 20, 2025 VGK @ CGY 3 - 6
Oct 18, 2025 CGY @ VGK 1 - 6
Oct 14, 2025 VGK @ CGY 4 - 2
Apr 15, 2025 VGK @ CGY 4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +37.5% more
Vegas: 32.7 vs Calgary: 23.8
Power Play % (L5) +8.4%
Vegas: 24.4% vs Calgary: 16.0%
Faceoff % (L5) +5.4%
Vegas: 55.7% vs Calgary: 50.3%
Takeaways (L5) +26.0% more
Calgary: 5.0 vs Vegas: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 1.0 1
VGK Score 3.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.5 / 15.8 21.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 55.7 / 50.3 50.9 / 49.1
Hits 23.7 / 23.5 14.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 24.4 / 16.0 100.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 32.7 / 23.8 28.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 3.7 / 5.0 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
56%MONEY44%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CGY
VGK
CGY
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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