PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
3-2-0 | Road
3
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
0-2-2 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 2.09 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.09
--
Save %
0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
SHARKS
0%
PENGUINS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
PIT By 1 goal
6.6%
PIT By 2-3 goals
3.7%
SJ By 1 goal
17.5%
SJ By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
1
PITTSBURGH
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
SJ @ PIT
6 - 5
Oct 18, 2025
PIT @ SJ
3 - 0
Jan 27, 2025
PIT @ SJ
1 - 2
Nov 16, 2024
SJ @ PIT
3 - 4
Mar 14, 2024
SJ @ PIT
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+106.7% more
San Jose: 5.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 2.4
Hits (L5)
+33.0% more
San Jose: 22.3
vs
Pittsburgh: 16.7
Power Play % (L5)
+14.2%
San Jose: 36.1%
vs
Pittsburgh: 21.9%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.5%
San Jose: 48.3%
vs
Pittsburgh: 45.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
1.0
3
SJ Score
3.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 18.3
14.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
48.3 / 45.9
55.0 / 45.0
Hits
22.3 / 16.7
25.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
3607.0 / 2188.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
20.9 / 25.9
31.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 2.4
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
PIT
SJ
PIT
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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