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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

0-2  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Oct 16 • 6:08 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

2-0  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Abner Uribe
STARTING PITCHER

Abner Uribe

#45 | Relief Pitcher
@
Roki Sasaki
STARTING PITCHER

Roki Sasaki

#11 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Abner Uribe None-None 3.00 -- 1.1 2
Roki Sasaki None-None 1.29 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
3.00 ERA Ldr 1.29
-- WHIP --
1.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
0%
📊
DODGERS
100%
BREWERS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 67%
Under 0 33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Los Angeles)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

46.4%

Dodgers Cover

53.6%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

MIL By 1-2 runs

17.8%

MIL By 3-4 runs

12.5%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.0%

LAD By 3-4 runs

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.79
MILWAUKEE
4.15
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
100% Win Prob
A
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.9
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 16, 2026 MIL @ LAD 6 - 2
Aug 15, 2026 MIL @ LAD 4 - 1
Aug 14, 2026 MIL @ LAD 1 - 3
Aug 13, 2026 MIL @ LAD 5 - 4
May 24, 2026 LAD @ MIL 5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.743
OPS
▲ .762
154
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +101.6% more
Los Angeles: 8.8 vs Milwaukee: 4.3
Total Bases (L5) +82.8% more
Los Angeles: 14.8 vs Milwaukee: 8.1
Home Runs (Season) +32.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Milwaukee: 154.0
Errors (L5) +31.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8 vs Milwaukee: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 3.8 1
LAD Score 4.2 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.5 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.8 / 4.3 5.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.3 / 7.4 12.0 / 15.0
Total Bases 14.8 / 8.1 8.0 / 7.0
Walks 2.9 / 4.6 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
LAD
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
MIL
LAD
MIL
ML
56% 92-73
62% 101-61
48% 79-87
52% 84-78
ATS
59% 98-67
58% 94-68
43% 72-94
48% 78-84
TTL
48% 77-82-6
40% 62-92-8
44% 70-90-6
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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