VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
1-2-0 | Road
5
DALLAS
STARSDAL
3-0-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Thatcher Demko
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko | None-None | 3.00 | 0.903 | -- |
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 5.15 | 0.808 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
5.15
0.903 Ldr
Save %
0.808
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
STARS
0%
CANUCKS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
DAL @ VAN
6 - 1
Nov 20, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 2
Oct 16, 2025
VAN @ DAL
5 - 3
Apr 8, 2025
VAN @ DAL
6 - 5
Mar 9, 2025
DAL @ VAN
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+42.2%
Dallas: 43.2%
vs
Vancouver: 1.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.0% more
Dallas: 28.8
vs
Vancouver: 24.4
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.3% more
Dallas: 18.9
vs
Vancouver: 16.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.3%
Dallas: 53.1%
vs
Vancouver: 46.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
3.0
5
DAL Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.9 / 16.3
20.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
53.1 / 46.8
57.4 / 42.6
Hits
19.1 / 25.9
21.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
43.2 / 1.0
50.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
28.8 / 24.4
31.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 4.4
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
VAN
DAL
VAN
ML
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
TTL
100%
4-0
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
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