BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
3-1-0 | Road
5
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
2-0-2 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 6.10 | 0.838 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.10
GAA
--
0.838
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
BRUINS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
VGK @ BOS
3 - 4
Oct 16, 2025
BOS @ VGK
5 - 6
Mar 20, 2025
BOS @ VGK
1 - 5
Feb 8, 2025
VGK @ BOS
4 - 3
Feb 29, 2024
VGK @ BOS
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+3.6%
Vegas: 19.9%
vs
Boston: 16.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.4% more
Boston: 16.6
vs
Vegas: 13.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
5
VGK Score
4.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 16.6
22.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
58.2 / 58.3
50.7 / 49.3
Hits
25.5 / 27.6
20.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
19.9 / 16.3
33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
30.5 / 29.5
37.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.1
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
BOS
VGK
BOS
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
