EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
2-0-1 | Road
2
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
0-3-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Matthew Schaefer
#48 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Matthew Schaefer | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
OILERS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
EDM By 1 goal
12.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NYI By 1 goal
19.7%
NYI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
New York
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 15, 2026
NYI @ EDM
1 - 0
Oct 16, 2025
EDM @ NYI
2 - 4
Mar 14, 2025
EDM @ NYI
2 - 1
Nov 12, 2024
NYI @ EDM
3 - 4
Dec 19, 2023
EDM @ NYI
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+23.0% more
New York: 22.7
vs
Edmonton: 18.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.5% more
New York: 35.9
vs
Edmonton: 30.8
Takeaways (L5)
+23.9% more
Edmonton: 3.5
vs
New York: 2.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+17.7% more
Edmonton: 18.6
vs
New York: 15.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
2
NYI Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.3 / 18.6
13.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
51.7 / 51.6
43.1 / 56.9
Hits
22.7 / 18.4
18.0 / 7.0
Power Play %
15.3 / 19.7
20.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
35.9 / 30.8
25.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
2.6 / 3.5
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
EDM
NYI
EDM
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
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Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
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