Home / NFL Projections NFL / Panthers @ Jets CAR @ NYJ

CAROLINA

PANTHERSCAR

3-3  |  Road

13
FINAL
Sun, Oct 19 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

JETSNYJ

0-6  |  Home

6
Key Game
Sam Martin
KEY GAME

Sam Martin

#6 | Punter
@
Austin McNamara
KEY GAME

Austin McNamara

#14 | Punter
Player
Sam Martin None-None
Austin McNamara None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
JETS
0%
PANTHERS --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
50.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (New York)
PanthersCAR (-3.5) 0 JetsNYJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

23.8%

Jets Cover

76.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYJ -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYJ)

CAR By 1-6 points

10.7%

CAR By 7-13 points

7.3%

NYJ By 1-6 points

15.3%

NYJ By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
20
CAROLINA
30
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
20
CAROLINA
24
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jets (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Jets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o42.5 Loss
Proj Total: 50.0
D
Sim u42.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 19, 2025 CAR @ NYJ 13 - 6
Sep 12, 2021 NYJ @ CAR 14 - 19
Nov 26, 2017 CAR @ NYJ 35 - 27
Dec 15, 2013 NYJ @ CAR 20 - 30
Nov 29, 2009 CAR @ NYJ 6 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +31.8% more
Carolina: 189.3 vs New York: 129.1
Total Yards (L5) +30.0% more
Carolina: 363.4 vs New York: 254.5
Yards Per Play (L5) +28.0% more
Carolina: 5.7 vs New York: 4.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +28.0% more
Carolina: 174.1 vs New York: 125.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 20.0 13
NYJ Score 30.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.2 / 23.5 12.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards 129.1 / 189.3 139.0 / 177.0
Rushing Yards 125.4 / 174.1 81.0 / 125.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.47 / 0.29
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 254.5 / 363.4 220.0 / 302.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.2 2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 4.1 / 5.7 3.7 / 4.3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
36%MONEY64%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
NYJ
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +3.6
NYJ Advantage
2-1-1 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +11.5
NYJ
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYJ
CAR
NYJ
CAR
ML
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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