Home / NFL Projections NFL / Giants @ Broncos NYG @ DEN

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-4  |  Road

32
FINAL
Sun, Oct 19 • 4:05 PM ET
Empower Field at Mile High
View Odds Details →

DENVER

BRONCOSDEN

4-2  |  Home

33
Key Game
Gunner Olszewski
KEY GAME

Gunner Olszewski

#80 | Wide Receiver
@
Jeremy Crawshaw
KEY GAME

Jeremy Crawshaw

#16 | Punter
Player
Gunner Olszewski None-None
Jeremy Crawshaw None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
GIANTS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Denver)
GiantsNYG (-3.5) 0 BroncosDEN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

47.2%

Broncos Cover

52.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around DEN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)

NYG By 1-6 points

16.1%

NYG By 7-13 points

14.6%

DEN By 1-6 points

16.7%

DEN By 7-13 points

16.1%

AI Model Projected Score
27
NEW YORK
28
DENVER
Simulated Score
20
NEW YORK
24
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+7) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o39.5 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
D
Sim u39.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 19, 2025 NYG @ DEN 32 - 33
Sep 12, 2021 DEN @ NYG 27 - 13
Oct 15, 2017 NYG @ DEN 23 - 10
Sep 15, 2013 DEN @ NYG 41 - 23
Nov 26, 2009 NYG @ DEN 6 - 26
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +10.9% more
Denver: 209.3 vs New York: 188.8
Turnovers (L5) +48.6% more
New York: 1.5 vs Denver: 0.8
Rushing Yards (L5) +16.1% more
New York: 140.6 vs Denver: 118.0
First Downs (L5) +15.4% more
New York: 21.7 vs Denver: 18.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYG Score 27.0 32
DEN Score 28.0 33
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.4 / 21.7 25.0 / 26.0
Net Passing Yards 209.3 / 188.8 265.0 / 268.0
Rushing Yards 118.0 / 140.6 142.0 / 119.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.31 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 327.3 / 329.5 407.0 / 387.0
Turnovers 0.8 / 1.5 0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.1 / 5.0 5.4 / 5.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
DEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -4.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
DEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -4.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
DEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
NYG
DEN
NYG
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
ATS
100% 4-0
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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