Home / NFL Projections NFL / Packers @ Cardinals GB @ ARI

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

3-1-1  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Oct 19 • 4:25 PM ET
State Farm Stadium
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

2-4  |  Home

23
Key Game
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
@
Chad Ryland
KEY GAME

Chad Ryland

#38 | Place kicker
Player
Daniel Whelan None-None
Chad Ryland None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PACKERS
0%
📊
CARDINALS
100%
PACKERS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
60.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Green Bay)
PackersGB (-3.5) 0 CardinalsARI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Packers Cover

92.3%

Cardinals Cover

7.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GB -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

GB By 1-6 points

8.6%

GB By 7-13 points

15.4%

ARI By 1-6 points

4.2%

ARI By 7-13 points

2.1%

AI Model Projected Score
40
GREEN BAY
20
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
20
GREEN BAY
27
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Packers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Packers (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o45.5 Win
Proj Total: 60.0
D
Sim u45.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2026 ARI @ GB 38 - 42
Oct 19, 2025 GB @ ARI 27 - 23
Oct 13, 2024 ARI @ GB 13 - 34
Oct 28, 2021 GB @ ARI 24 - 21
Dec 2, 2018 ARI @ GB 20 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +15.3% more
Green Bay: 135.8 vs Arizona: 115.1
First Downs (L5) +11.7% more
Green Bay: 22.8 vs Arizona: 20.1
Yards Per Play (L5) +11.6% more
Green Bay: 6.0 vs Arizona: 5.3
Total Yards (L5) +10.1% more
Green Bay: 380.3 vs Arizona: 341.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 40.0 27
ARI Score 20.0 23
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.1 / 22.8 23.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards 226.8 / 244.5 236.0 / 168.0
Rushing Yards 115.1 / 135.8 94.0 / 94.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.3
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 341.8 / 380.3 330.0 / 262.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.0 1.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.3 / 6.0 4.7 / 4.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
ARI Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
GB
ARI
GB
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
ATS
75% 3-1
0% 0-3-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2-1
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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