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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

1-3-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Oct 15 • 9:30 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

1-2-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
@
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Devin Cooley None-None 2.04 0.935 --
Karel Vejmelka None-None 1.01 0.950 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.04 GAA Ldr 1.01
0.935 Save % Ldr 0.950
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
MAMMOTH
0%
FLAMES --
MAMMOTH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 MammothUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

30.9%

Mammoth Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)

CGY By 1 goal

12.1%

CGY By 2-3 goals

9.3%

UTA By 1 goal

19.7%

UTA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CALGARY
4
UTAH
Simulated Score
4
CALGARY
3
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mammoth Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mammoth (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flames (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 UTA @ CGY 1 - 4
Dec 6, 2025 UTA @ CGY 0 - 2
Oct 15, 2025 CGY @ UTA 1 - 3
Apr 1, 2025 CGY @ UTA 1 - 3
Jan 2, 2025 UTA @ CGY 5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +4.2%
Utah: 15.6% vs Calgary: 11.5%
Takeaways (L5) +48.8% more
Calgary: 5.1 vs Utah: 2.6
Hits (L5) +27.7% more
Calgary: 24.7 vs Utah: 17.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +25.9% more
Calgary: 16.7 vs Utah: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 3.0 1
UTA Score 4.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.3 / 16.7 17.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 46.7 / 47.1 43.4 / 56.6
Hits 17.9 / 24.7 25.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 15.6 / 11.5 0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 26.6 / 25.7 32.0 / 20.0
Takeaways 2.6 / 5.1 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
70%MONEY30%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
CGY
UTA
CGY
ML
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
ATS
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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