MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
2-1-0 | Road
2
DALLAS
STARSDAL
2-0-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 3.13 | 0.870 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.00 | 0.951 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.13
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.870
Save %
Ldr 0.951
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
STARS
0%
WILD
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
MIN By 1 goal
12.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026
MIN @ DAL
4 - 2
Apr 25, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 3
Apr 22, 2026
DAL @ MIN
4 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
MIN @ DAL
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+30.5% more
Dallas: 19.9
vs
Minnesota: 15.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.7%
Dallas: 52.6%
vs
Minnesota: 48.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+57.1% more
Minnesota: 5.4
vs
Dallas: 2.3
Power Play % (L5)
+26.5%
Minnesota: 41.3%
vs
Dallas: 14.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
2
DAL Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.9 / 15.2
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
52.6 / 48.9
54.0 / 46.0
Hits
21.2 / 20.4
15.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
14.7 / 41.3
100.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
30.7 / 30.0
25.0 / 41.0
Takeaways
2.3 / 5.4
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
MIN
DAL
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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