TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
0-2 | Road
13
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
2-0 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Mason Fluharty
#68 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
George Kirby
#68 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Fluharty | None-None | 6.75 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| George Kirby | None-None | 7.07 | -- | 4.0 | 4 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.75 Ldr
ERA
7.07
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 4.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
0%
MARINERS
100%
BLUE JAYS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TOR -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.7%
TOR By 3-4 runs
17.4%
SEA By 1-2 runs
15.0%
SEA By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
6.02
TORONTO
Seattle
4.53
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
B
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
SEA @ TOR
0 - 7
Aug 29, 2026
SEA @ TOR
3 - 4
Aug 28, 2026
SEA @ TOR
1 - 8
Jul 5, 2026
TOR @ SEA
0 - 4
Jul 4, 2026
TOR @ SEA
0 - 11
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto
TOR
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.10
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.314
.381
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.692
OPS
▲
.693
152
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+34.5% more
Toronto: 11.4
vs
Seattle: 7.5
Walks (L5)
+19.9% more
Toronto: 4.6
vs
Seattle: 3.7
Batting Avg (Season)
+1.4%
Toronto: 24.7%
vs
Seattle: 23.3%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+0.2%
Toronto: 38.1%
vs
Seattle: 37.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
6.0
13
SEA Score
4.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.4 / 7.5
8.0 / 18.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.0
3.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 11.4
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
14.7 / 12.1
18.0 / 37.0
Walks
3.7 / 4.6
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
TOR
SEA
TOR
ML
50%
81-81
46%
74-87
52%
85-77
50%
80-80
ATS
60%
98-64
56%
90-71
59%
95-67
49%
79-81
TTL
56%
85-67-10
51%
80-76-5
53%
81-71-10
45%
70-85-5
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