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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

1-0-1  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Oct 14 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

2-2-0  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Ty Emberson
GOALTENDER

Ty Emberson

#49 | Defense
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ty Emberson None-None -- -- --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 1.01 0.952 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.01
-- Save % 0.952
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
OILERS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

17.5%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4
EDMONTON
2
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
4
EDMONTON
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 30, 2025 NYR @ EDM 4 - 3
Oct 14, 2025 EDM @ NYR 2 - 0
Mar 16, 2025 EDM @ NYR 3 - 1
Nov 23, 2024 NYR @ EDM 2 - 6
Dec 22, 2023 EDM @ NYR 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +17.5%
Edmonton: 29.5% vs New York: 12.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.7% more
Edmonton: 35.2 vs New York: 30.7
Takeaways (L5) +148.0% more
New York: 5.5 vs Edmonton: 2.2
Hits (L5) +18.6% more
New York: 25.7 vs Edmonton: 21.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 4.0 2
NYR Score 2.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.3 / 16.4 11.0 / 23.0
Faceoff % 56.3 / 50.7 46.5 / 53.5
Hits 25.7 / 21.6 18.0 / 12.0
Power Play % 1195.0 / 2948.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 30.7 / 35.2 30.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 5.5 / 2.2 2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
EDM
NYR
EDM
ML
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
ATS
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
TTL
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 45 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 45 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 13 hours ago