VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
1-0-2 | Road
4
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
1-2-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 6.00 | 0.800 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 3.09 | 0.897 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
Ldr 3.09
0.800
Save %
Ldr 0.897
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
FLAMES
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
17.5%
VGK By 2-3 goals
37.2%
CGY By 1 goal
6.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
CGY @ VGK
3 - 6
Dec 20, 2025
VGK @ CGY
3 - 6
Oct 18, 2025
CGY @ VGK
1 - 6
Oct 14, 2025
VGK @ CGY
4 - 2
Apr 15, 2025
VGK @ CGY
4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.1% more
Vegas: 30.8
vs
Calgary: 24.0
Power Play % (L5)
+12.7%
Vegas: 29.9%
vs
Calgary: 17.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.7%
Vegas: 58.9%
vs
Calgary: 49.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+46.2% more
Calgary: 4.6
vs
Vegas: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
4.0
4
CGY Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.0 / 15.0
18.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
49.1 / 58.9
43.1 / 56.9
Hits
25.5 / 25.3
23.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
1717.0 / 2989.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.0 / 30.8
29.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 3.1
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
VGK
CGY
VGK
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
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