PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
2-1-0 | Road
3
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
1-1-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.00 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.00
--
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
DUCKS
100%
PENGUINS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
PIT By 1 goal
19.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
ANA By 1 goal
12.1%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Penguins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
ANA @ PIT
4 - 3
Oct 14, 2025
PIT @ ANA
3 - 4
Jan 23, 2025
PIT @ ANA
1 - 5
Oct 31, 2024
ANA @ PIT
1 - 2
Nov 7, 2023
PIT @ ANA
2 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+53.2% more
Pittsburgh: 3.9
vs
Anaheim: 1.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+44.1% more
Pittsburgh: 16.9
vs
Anaheim: 9.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.2%
Pittsburgh: 49.9%
vs
Anaheim: 44.7%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+43.9% more
Anaheim: 37.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 26.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.0
3
ANA Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.4 / 16.9
16.0 / 26.0
Faceoff %
44.7 / 49.9
51.9 / 48.1
Hits
23.8 / 19.9
25.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
16.7 / 11.7
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
37.8 / 26.3
22.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
1.8 / 3.9
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
PIT
ANA
PIT
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
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